UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Michigan 1
  
Michigan              
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 95.7346

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Marquette Big East ( 7- 7, 93.5) 14- 1 208 A No Carolina ACC (10- 4, 97.3) 6-15 215 A Hobart Atlantic 10 ( 5- 9, 91.3) 15- 9 222 A Duke ACC (12- 5, 97.1) 7- 8 225 H Canisius MAAC ( 6-10, 88.7) 16- 2 304 H Cleveland St NEC ( 4-10, 88.3) 19- 5 308 A Harvard Ivy (10- 4, 96.7) 11-14 315 H Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 98.3) 7-19 322 A Maryland B1G (11- 3, 99.0) 11-10 329 H JHU B1G ( 6- 8, 95.7) 11- 8 406 H Penn State B1G (10- 4, 98.2) 8-11 413 A Rutgers B1G ( 7- 9, 95.0) 8- 6 419 H Ohio State B1G (14- 2, 97.8) 8-10 426 H Rutgers B1G ( 7- 9, 95.0) 8-11

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Marquette              14- 1      13     3           1.88
   208 A No Carolina             6-15      -9    -2    -     -2.55
   215 A Hobart                 15- 9       6     4           1.43
   222 A Duke                    7- 8      -1    -2           1.25
   225 H Canisius               16- 2      14     8           0.00
   304 H Cleveland St           19- 5      14     8           0.00
   308 A Harvard                11-14      -3    -2          -1.19
   315 H Notre Dame              7-19     -12    -2    -     -3.32
   322 A Maryland               11-10       1    -4    ++     5.10
   329 H JHU                    11- 8       3     1    +      2.10
   406 H Penn State              8-11      -3    -2          -1.42
   413 A Rutgers                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.09
   419 H Ohio State              8-10      -2    -1          -0.75
   426 H Rutgers                 8-11      -3     2    --    -4.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Rutgers                 8-11      -3     2    --    -4.63
   208 A No Carolina             6-15      -9    -2    -     -2.55
   315 H Notre Dame              7-19     -12    -2    -     -3.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Maryland               11-10       1    -4    ++     5.10
   329 H JHU                    11- 8       3     1    +      2.10
   413 A Rutgers                 8- 6       2     0    +      2.09

Michigan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Michigan
Albany Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Michigan
Army Army insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Army
Bellarmine Michigan Michigan   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Binghamton Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan
Boston Univ Michigan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Michigan
Brown Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan
Bryant Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan
Bucknell Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Canisius Michigan Michigan  
Cleveland St Michigan Michigan  
Colgate Colgate insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Colgate
Cornell Cornell insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Cornell
Dartmouth Michigan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Michigan
Delaware Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Denver Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Michigan
Detroit Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Michigan
Drexel Michigan   Michigan
Duke Duke Duke  
Fairfield Michigan   Michigan
Georgetown Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Michigan
Hampton Michigan   Michigan
Harvard Harvard Harvard  
High Point Michigan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Michigan
Hobart Michigan Michigan  
Hofstra Michigan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Michigan
Holy Cross Michigan   Michigan
Iona Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Jacksonville Michigan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Michigan
JHU Michigan Michigan  
Lafayette Michigan   Michigan
Le Moyne Michigan insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Michigan
Lehigh Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Michigan
LIU Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Michigan
Loyola Michigan Michigan   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Manhattan Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Marist Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Michigan
Marquette Michigan Michigan  
Maryland Michigan Michigan  
UMass Michigan insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Michigan
Mass-Lowell Michigan   Michigan
Mercer Michigan   Michigan
Mercyhurst Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Merrimack Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Monmouth Michigan   Michigan
Mt St Marys Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Navy Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Michigan
NJIT Michigan   Michigan
No Carolina No Carolina No Carolina  
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State  
Penn Michigan tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Michigan
Penn State Penn State Penn State  
Princeton Princeton Princeton   5- 1 vs 2- 5
Providence Michigan tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Michigan
Queens Michigan   Michigan
Quinnipiac Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Richmond Richmond insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Richmond
Rob Morris Michigan tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) Michigan
Rutgers Michigan tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Michigan
Sacred Heart Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Siena Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Michigan
St B'venture Michigan insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Michigan
St Johns Michigan Michigan   3- 1 vs 1- 2
St Josephs Michigan tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Michigan
Stony Brook Michigan tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Michigan
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) Syracuse
Towson Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
UMBC Michigan   Michigan
Utah Michigan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Michigan
Vermont Michigan   Michigan
Villanova Michigan tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Michigan
Virginia Michigan Michigan   2- 4 vs 0- 6
VMI Michigan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Michigan
Wagner Michigan insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Michigan
Yale Michigan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Michigan

PowerWise = 64


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Marquette       ( 7- 7, 93.5)    14- 1       -6.43      12.39      -0.86         1.02            11.81
   0 A No Carolina     (10- 4, 97.3)     6-15       -2.57      16.24       0.86         1.02            -1.75
   0 A Hobart          ( 5- 9, 91.3)    15- 9       -8.59      10.22       0.86         1.02            11.34
   0 A Duke            (12- 5, 97.1)     7- 8       -2.77      16.04       0.86         1.02            -1.96
   0 H Canisius        ( 6-10, 88.7)    16- 2      -11.16       7.66      -0.86         1.02             6.96
   0 H Cleveland St    ( 4-10, 88.3)    19- 5      -11.56       7.25      -0.86         1.02             6.55
   0 A Harvard         (10- 4, 96.7)    11-14       -3.21      15.60       0.86         1.02            -2.41
   0 H Notre Dame      ( 8- 4, 98.3)     7-19       -1.63      17.18      -0.86         1.02            -2.55
   0 A Maryland        (11- 3, 99.0)    11-10       -0.93      17.89       0.86         1.02            19.20
   0 H JHU             ( 6- 8, 95.7)    11- 8       -4.20      14.61      -0.86         1.02            14.08
   0 H Penn State      (10- 4, 98.2)     8-11       -1.72      17.09      -0.86         1.02            -2.64
   0 A Rutgers         ( 7- 9, 95.0)     8- 6       -4.93      13.88       0.86         1.02            15.09
   0 H Ohio State      (14- 2, 97.8)     8-10       -2.05      16.76      -0.86         1.02            -2.98
   0 H Rutgers         ( 7- 9, 95.0)     8-11       -4.93      13.88      -0.86         1.02            -5.93
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        64.80

winning pts = 85.0356 losing points = -20.2351

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------